NEWS FEATURE: The 2027 Presidential Race: Emerging Contenders and Challenges Ahead

The political landscape for Nigeria's 2027 presidential election is beginning to take shape, marked by complex permutations within the National Opposition Coalition Group. Led by notable figures such as former Vice President Atiku Abubakar and ex-Kaduna State Governor Nasir El-Rufai, the coalition is navigating crucial decisions to strengthen its position against the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC), which has endorsed President Bola Tinubu for re-election.

The Ruling APC's Position

The APC's endorsement of President Tinubu gained momentum following a wave of endorsements from governors within the party, led by Imo State Governor Hope Uzodimma. These endorsements were further bolstered by support from various private individuals and opposition figures who cited Tinubu's bold reforms as a key reason for their backing. With this groundwork, the APC is positioning itself for a strong campaign in 2027.

The Opposition's Dilemma

In contrast, the opposition coalition faces significant decisions that could impact its chances. One major consideration is the potential formation of a new political party, the All Democratic Alliance (ADA), as an alternative platform to challenge the APC. Additionally, the coalition is grappling with the zoning principle, which involves deciding whether to nominate a presidential candidate from the southern or northern regions. This decision is complicated by the recent tenure of Muhammadu Buhari, a northerner, and the potential for southern aspirants to gain support based on regional sentiments.

Potential Candidates

Several figures are emerging as potential challengers to President Tinubu, each with their own strengths and challenges:

- *Goodluck Jonathan*: The former president's popularity has seen a resurgence due to his peaceful transition of power and successful international assignments. However, his wife's recent statement suggesting he may not contest against Tinubu has dampened speculation about his potential candidacy. If he were to run, Jonathan could leverage his southern base and potential northern support to mount a strong campaign.

- *Atiku Abubakar*: As a veteran presidential aspirant, Atiku faces skepticism from some coalition members who feel he has had ample opportunities. The zoning principle also poses a challenge, with many stakeholders advocating for a southern candidate. Despite these hurdles, Atiku's experience and political network make him a formidable contender.

- *Peter Obi*: Following his strong performance in the 2023 elections, Obi remains a hopeful candidate. His appeal among the youth is significant, but it remains to be seen if he retains this support and whether northerners will back a southerner for another term. Obi's ability to mobilize young voters could be crucial in a tight contest.

- *Bukola Saraki*: As a former Senate President and governor, Saraki brings substantial political experience. His position as a compromise candidate between the north and south could be advantageous, though he has not indicated interest in running. Saraki's strategic thinking and national profile make him a potential dark horse in the race.

- *Rabiu Kwankwaso*: Despite his grassroots support in Kano, Kwankwaso's influence beyond the state is limited. The current leadership crisis in his party, the NNPP, further complicates his political future. Kwankwaso's challenge will be to expand his appeal beyond Kano and rebuild his party's structure.

- *Chibuike Amaechi*: With extensive experience in governance and politics, Amaechi is a credible candidate. His criticism of the Tinubu administration and commitment to his political ideals are notable. However, like other southern aspirants, he faces questions about northern support for another southern presidency after Tinubu's term.

- *Nasir El-Rufai*: Although not openly contesting, El-Rufai's role in the opposition coalition and his grievances against the APC make him a significant player. His potential influence in supporting a southern candidate could shape the coalition's dynamics. El-Rufai's experience and political acumen position him as a key strategist in the opposition's camp.

- *Ibrahim Shekarau*: As a former governor of Kano and chairman of the League of Northern Democrats, Shekarau holds considerable sway in northern politics. While he hasn't declared his candidacy, his commitment to challenging Tinubu is clear. Shekarau's northern roots and political experience could make him a strong contender if he decides to run.

The 2027 presidential race promises to be intense, with each potential candidate facing unique challenges and opportunities. As the political landscape evolves, these figures will need to navigate complex alliances, regional dynamics, and voter sentiments to succeed.

Sources: 

Arise News ( #Credit : Olawale Olaleye and Ejiofor Alike)